Some Books
that Significantly Influenced the way I Think about Economic Problems
-
Allen, Roy G. D. 1968.
Macro-Economic Theory: A Mathematical Treatment. London: Macmillan. [I
found this book quite useful for helping me to translate many well-known
macroeconomic models into a system dynamics format.]
-
Baumol, William J.
1959 (1951). Economic Dynamics. 2nd Edition. New York: The Macmillan
Company. [Baumol put me on the path to dynamic economic modeling.]
-
Boulding, Kenneth E.
1950. A Reconstruction of Economics. New York: John Wiley & Sons,
Inc. [In this book, Boulding created a balance sheet (stock-flow) approach
to economics that is wholly consistent with system dynamics and heterodox
economics. In late 1984 I randomly bumped into Boulding at the American
Economic Association meetings. He was trying to find the registration booth
and I volunteered to clear a path through the crowd at the Dallas Convention
Center and lead him to the booth. We had a nice chat about dynamic systems. Very
nice guy.]
-
Daly, Herman E.
1991. Steady State Economics. 2nd Edition. Washington, D.C.: Island
Press. [Daly was one of the first traditionally trained economists I encountered who
thought like a system dynamicist.]
-
Davidson, Paul.
1972. Money and the Real World. New York: John Wiley and Sons, Inc.
[Paul is the co-founder of the
Journal of Post
Keynesian Economics. He lectured in one of my graduate classes in
1980. After his talk I ran out and bought this book.]
-
Eichner, Alfred S.
1979. A Guide to Post Keynesian Economics. White Plaines, NY: M. E.
Sharpe, Inc. [A collection of papers that outlines the tenets of the Post
Keynesian school of economic thought, as it existed in the late 1970s. Still
a good read.]
-
Eichner, Alfred S.
1986. The Macrodynamics of Advanced Market Economies. Armonk, NY: M.E.
Sharpe, Inc. [Eichner's magnum opus. If you read many of Eichner's books, you'd swear that he was a system
dynamicist.]
-
Forrester, Jay W.
1961. Industrial Dynamics. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press. [The "Bible"
of system dynamics. Still an excellent read that is loaded with insights
that are applicable today. Jay is a good friend and mentor who, along with
John Sterman and Randy Wray, significantly influenced how I think about
economic problems.]
-
Forrester, Jay W.
1975. Collected Papers of Jay W. Forrester. Cambridge, MA: The MIT
Press. [Nice summary of Jay's ideas about system dynamics in general, and
the World Dynamics and Urban Dynamics projects in particular.]
-
Friedman, Milton.
1962. Capitalism and Freedom. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago
Press. [A classic, loaded with interesting ideas and arguments.]
-
Gleick, James.
1988. Chaos: Making a New Science. New York: Penguin Books. [An
accessible read that teaches about chaos, dynamic modeling, and nonlinear
systems, and chronicles the intellectual odysseys traversed by some of the
early chaos researchers.]
-
Gruchy, Allen G.
1987. The Reconstruction of Economics: An Analysis of the Fundamentals of
Institutional Economics. New York: Greenwood Press. [At a conference in
the late 1980s, Professor Gruchy told me he thought the application of
system dynamics to institutional economics was a great idea and to "go for
it."]
-
Hamilton, David B.
1999 (1953). Evolutionary Economics: A Study of Change in Economic
Thought. New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Publishers. [Hamilton first got
me thinking about the notion of evolutionary change in economic systems.]
-
Harcourt, Geoffrey C.
1972. Some Cambridge Controversies in the Theory of Capital.
Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. [Excellent summary of the
Cambridge controversies...University of Cambridge, UK versus MIT (Cambridge,
MA, USA). Geoff is an excellent guy...very friendly
and funny.]
-
Heilbronner, Robert L.
2000 (1953). The Worldly Philosophers. London: Penguin Books.
[Another classic that everyone who is interested in economics should read.]
-
Jones, Hywel G.
1976. An Introduction to Modern Theories of Economic Growth.
McGraw-Hill Book Company. [I finally understood much of basic growth theory
after reading this wonderful book.]
-
Keen, Steve. 2001.
Debunking Economics. Annandale NSW, Australia: Pluto Press Australia
Ltd. [Professor Keen thinks (and models) like a system dynamicist and lays the wood to
neoclassical economics in this book. He's an
excellent guy and a supporter of the use of system dynamics in heterodox
economics.]
-
Keynes, John Maynard.
1936. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. London:
Macmillan. [Okay, I'll admit it. I've never read the General Theory
cover-to-cover like a novel. Instead, I've read it in fits and starts over
the last 30 years. I'm currently trying to understand and model (with
agent-based modeling) what Keynes said in Chapter 12 about the formation of
long-run expectations.]
-
Kindleberger, Charles
P. 1996. Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises.
3rd edition. New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. [One of the
"Bibles" that explains speculative bubbles.]
-
Kmenta, Jan. Elements of
Econometrics. 2nd Edition. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.
[This book put me on the path to truly understanding how econometric research
is supposed to be conducted.]
-
Leijonhufvud, Axel.
1966. On Keynesian Economics and the Economics of Keynes. New York:
Oxford University Press. [This book first alerted me to the argument that the
standard textbook presentation of what Keynes said, may not exactly be what
Keynes really said. Of particular note is that, in this book, Leijonhufvud
argues that cybernetics ["a general theory of dynamic systems" (page 367)]
"was the direction in which Keynes' work pointed" (page 366) and was "the
Keynesian revolution which did not come off" (page 367). Leijonhufvud later
become interested in agent-based modeling.]
-
Lerner, Abba P.
1944. The Economics of Control. New York: The Macmillan Company. [In
this brilliant book, Lerner lays out (among other things) his theory of
functional finance. Keynes thought very highly of this book.]
-
Lerner, Abba P.
1951. Economics of Employment. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company,
Inc. [Much more from Lerner on functional finance. He also discusses the
importance of stocks and flows in chapter 4.]
-
Lerner, Abba P. and
David C. Colander. 1980. MAP: A Market Anti-Inflation Plan. New
York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, Inc. [During the 1970s Lerner began to
worry that, if his principles of functional finance were followed, inflation
might result as full employment was approached. In this book, he and David
Colander outline a plan to prevent this from happening.]
-
Marglin, Stephen A.
1984. Growth, Distribution and Prices. Cambridge, MA: Harvard
University Press. [This book showed me, for the first time, how you could use
mathematical modeling to present the same basic model from a variety of
perspectives (neoclassical, Post Keynesian, Marxist). The math enables you
to see precisely how the assumptions change (or not) from theory to theory.]
-
Meadows, Donnella H.,
Dennis L. Meadows, Jorgen Randers and William W. Behrens. 1972. The
Limits to Growth. New York: Universe Books. [This book was the first to
get me thinking about the implications of economic systems that grow
exponentially in a finite (limited) world.]
-
Minsky, Hyman P.
1975. John Maynard Keynes. New York: Columbia University Press. [Minsky
is probably best described as a "financial Keynesian."]
-
Minsky, Hyman P.
1982. Can "It" Happen Again? Essays on Instability and Finance. Armonk, NY:
M. E. Sharpe, Inc. [The "It" is another Great Depression.]
-
Minsky, Hyman P.
1986. Stabilizing an Unstable Economy: Why a Stock Market Crash Need Not
Lead to Another Great Depression. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
[An excellent overview of Minsky's theory of financial instability (hedge,
speculative and Ponzi firms, etc.) and how big government and a big bank can
help prevent another Great Depression.]
-
Robinson, Joan V.
1956. The Accumulation of Capital. London: Macmillan. [Mrs. Robinson
is my favorite economist and this is her magnum opus. I met her in 1980 when she lectured in my
first graduate macroeconomic course (I remember that she became real
irritated by a question about equilibrium). Most of her views on macroeconomic
dynamics are right on.]
-
Schelling, Thomas C.
1978. Micromotives and Macrobehavior. New York: W. W. Norton and
company. [Schelling did some early and brilliant work on agent-based
modeling and behavioral economics. I taught his son graduate statistics.]
-
Shiller, Robert J.
2000. Irrational Exuberance. New York: Broadway Books. [Great read
about the psychological (and other) factors that lead to speculative
behavior in markets.]
-
Sterman, John D.
2000. Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex
World. Boston: Irwin McGraw-Hill. [This is the best system dynamics book
in the world. I love it b/c it is essentially a cleaned-up and expanded
version of the notes I took in John's two system dynamics courses at MIT
(15.874 and 15.875). It also nicely integrates a lot of the well-known
research that has been done over the years in the field of system dynamics.
If you want to know how to do system dynamics properly, start here.]
-
Wolfson, Martin H.
1994. Financial Crises: Understanding the Postwar U.S. Experience. 2nd
edition. Armonk, NY: M. E. Sharpe, Inc. [Marty, a Notre Dame economics
professor, outlines a comprehensive theory of financial business cycles,
which he supports with lots of data.]
-
Wray, L. Randall.
1998. Understanding Modern Money. Northamption, MA: Edward Elgar.
[This, along with Mosler's
Soft Currency Economics, is the last piece of the
puzzle for creating a Post Keynesian-Institutionalist-System Dynamics model
of the economy. Randy has significantly influenced how I think about
macroeconomics.]
Trading & Investing Books You Should
Really Read

Biographies
-
Cramer, James G.
2002. Confessions of a Street Addict. New York: Simon and Schuster.
[Cramer's autobiography.]
-
Elder, Alexander. 2006. Entries
and Exits: Visits to Sixteen Trading Rooms. New York: John Wiley & Sons,
Inc. [Well known trader and trading coach Dr. Elder interviews sixteen of
his trading colleagues, some of whom are his former students, and records
exactly what each of them see and do as they make two trades. He then
analyzes the trades. Quite an interesting read.]
-
Lefevre, Edwin.
1994 (1923). Reminiscences of a Stock Operator. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley and
Sons. [First published in 1923, this is the fictionalized biography of
Jesse
Livermore. Cramer claims that it's Livermore's autobiography, written
under the pen name Lefevre.]
-
Livermore, Jesse. 2001.
How
to Trade in Stocks. New York: McGraw-Hill, Inc. [Livermore's own words
with commentary and interpretation by Richard Smitten. Includes Livermore's
1940 "market key theory."]
-
Ruggiero, Jr., Murray
A. and Adrienne Laris Toghraie. 1999. Traders' Secrets: Psychological
and Technical Analyses. East Haven, CT: Ruggiero Press. [Murray &
Adrienne interview fourteen traders. For each trader Murray provides an
analysis of how they trade technically and Adrienne provides a psychological
profile.]
-
Schwager, Jack D.
1989. Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders. New York: New York
Institute of Finance. [This is Schwager's original book. It's kind of an "In
Search of Excellence" for traders. In the end, Schwager tries to identify
the traits that are common to successful traders.]
-
Schwager, Jack D.
1992. The New Market Wizards: Conversations with America's Top Traders.
New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. [More trader interviews from Jack Schwager.]
-
Schwager, Jack D.
2003. Stock Market Wizards: Interviews with America's Top Stock Traders.
New York: Harper-Collins Publishers, Inc. [Schwager interviews another
thirteen successful traders.]
Comprehensive Overviews of Trading
-
Griffis, Michael and
Lita Epstein. 2004. Trading for Dummies. Indianapolis, IN: Wiley
Publishing, Inc. [Another book in the "Dummy" series, but it has lots of
good, basic, information.]
-
Kansas, Dave.
2005. The Wall Street Journal Complete Money & Investing Guidebook.
New York: Three Rivers Press, Inc. [Easy and quick to read. It provides an
excellent, sweeping overview of the world of investing in plain English.]
-
Parness, Michael P.
2002. Rule the Freakin' Markets. New York: St. Martins Griffin.
[Interesting read. Parness is the founder of
TrendFund.com]
-
Raiman, Melvin L.
2003.
Wizetrader's Guide to Effective Day Trading. [This is a free e-book
in which Mel provides lot of tips on day trading. Although he no
longer uses Wizetrade (since creating the
Precision Trading System),
his
e-book still is loaded with excellent information for any trader.]
Fundamental Analysis
-
Cramer, James G.
2005. Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World. New York: Simon
and Schuster. [Cramer outlines, in plain English, his methods for trading and investing,
which are quite interesting.
If you watch his TV show and/or listen to his radio show, this book will
help you understand where he's coming from. Boo-yah!]
-
Cunningham, Lawerence
A. 2001. The Essays of Warren Buffet: Lessons for Corporate America.
New York: Cardozo Law Review. [An organized collection of Warren Buffet's
well-known letters to the shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway, which outline
his investing ideas and business practices.]
-
Fisher, Philip A.
1957. Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits and Other Writings. New
York: John Wiley and Sons, Inc. [An investment classic with a preface and
introduction by Phil Fisher's son. One of Warren Buffet's recommended
reads.]
-
Graham, Benjamin.
1949. The Intelligent Investor. New York: HarperCollins Publishers,
Inc. [According to Warren Buffet this is "by far the best book on investing
ever written."]
-
Graham, Benjamin and
David L. Dodd. 1934. Security Analysis. New York: McGraw-Hill, Inc. [Warren
Buffet has always claimed that this book is the key to his thinking. The
authors teach you how to analyze a company and come up with its intrinsic
value. If the firm's shares are trading at a price lower than its intrinsic
value, they're worth purchasing. Don't let the date of publication fool you.
It's been through five editions and the consensus is that the first edition
is the best and still relevant.]
-
O'Neil, William J.
2002. How to Make Money in Stocks: A Winning System in Good Times of Bad.
Third Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill, Inc. [This is my favorite book on
fundamental investing. O'Neil is the creator of the CANSLIM method of
picking stocks. CANSLIM stocks are likely to go way up in price, but have
not yet begun their move. Investors Business Daily and
investors.com are devoted to helping
investors identify CANSLIM stocks.]
Inter-Market Analysis
-
Murphy, John J.
1991. Intermarket Technical Analysis: Trading Strategies for the Global
Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley &
Sons, Inc. [Path breaking book that lays out a compelling case for the
interrelatedness of global financial markets and that essentially created a
new branch of technical analysis. In the book, Murphy argues that technical
traders must take intermarket correlations into account when trading.]
-
Murphy, John J.
1996. The Visual Investor: How to Spot Market Trends. New York: John
Wiley & Sons, Inc. [In this book Murphy focuses on the use of technical
tools for sector analysis, primarily applied to mutual fund data.]
-
Murphy, John J.
2004. Intermarket Analysis: Profiting from Global Market Relationships.
Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. [An update to Murphy's 1991 Intermarket Technical Analysis book, in which he incorporates the economic
history of the 1990s and early 2000s. If you have to choose between Murphy's
1991 book and this one, read this one. It's brilliant.]
Market Breadth
-
Morris, Gregory L.
2006. Market Breadth Indicators: How to Analyze and Evaluate Market
Direction and Strength. New York: McGraw-Hill, Inc. [Excellent overview
of market breadth indicators and their use and interpretation. Remember,
when analyzing how a stock will move it's Market => Sector => Stock.]
Options
-
Cohen, Guy. 2005.
Options Made Easy. 2nd Edition. New York: Prentice Hall.
[The easiest book on understanding options I have come across. Lots of
practice guides for fundamental and technical trading as well. Excellent
book.]
-
Morris, Virginia B.
and Bess Newman. 2004. An Investor's Guide to Trading Options.
New York: Lightbulb Press, Inc. [Excellent overview of options trading. A
quick and easy read in plain English. If I knew nothing about options, I'd
start here.]
-
Thomsett, Michael C.
2003. Getting Started in Options. Fifth Edition. Hoboken, NJ: John
Wiley and Sons. [A well-known and excellent introduction to options trading.]
Sector Rotation
-
Stovall, Sam.
1995. Standard & Poor's Guide to Sector Investing. McGraw-Hill. [A
Sam Stovall classic.]
-
Stovall, Sam.
1996. Sector Investing. McGraw-Hill. [This is the "Bible" of sector
investing.]
Technical Analysis
-
Murphy, John J.
1999. Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide
to Trading Methods and Applications. New York: New York Institute of
Finance. [The "Bible" of technical analysis from one of the world's foremost
technical trading gurus. A must read.]
-
Sperandeo, Victor.
1993. Trader Vic - Methods of a Wall Street Master. New York: John
Wiley & Sons, Inc. [Excellent presentation of trading fundamentals. Trader
Vic taught me how to draw a proper trend line!]
-
Sperandeo, Victor.
1997. Trader Vic II - Principles of Professional Speculation. New
York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. [Trader Vic's sequel to his Methods of a
Wall Street Master.]
Trading Psychology
-
Douglas, Mark.
1990. The Disciplined Trader. New York: Penguin Putnam. [The
psychology of disciplined trading. Buy low, sell high. How hard can it be?
Pretty dang hard!]
-
Tharp, Van. 2007.
Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom. Second Edition. New York:
McGraw-Hill, Inc. [A classic. This book provides a sweeping overview of how
to set-up a trading system. It includes a lot of information on trader
psychology as Dr. Tharp, a Ph.D. psychologist, specializes in modeling the
traits of a successful trader.]
Trading Systems
-
Bysshe, Geoff.
2004.
Trading the 10 O'Clock
Bulls. [This is a
free e-book written by Geoff Bysshe at DataView. Geoff is one of the
creators of HotScans and MarketGauge. In this book, Geoff teaches you an
effective day trading strategy that works in harmony with some scans in HotScans.]
-
Tharp, Van. 2007. Trade Your Way
to Financial Freedom. Second Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill, Inc. [A
classic. This book provides a sweeping overview of how to set-up a trading
system. It includes a lot of information on trader psychology as Dr. Tharp,
a Ph.D. psychologist, specializes in modeling the traits of a successful
trader.]
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